Donald Trump’s re-election as president of the United States is a major turning point in global politics. This has occurred at an exceptionally turbulent time. While Trump’s first term was highly controversial, his re-election is now seen by some as a stabilizing step, particularly given his promise to end the conflict in Gaza and Europe. This change shows the uncertainty of global politics and the importance of American leadership. Speculation has already begun about the Trump administration’s foreign policy, economic priorities and global role.
Focus on the Indo-Pacific
The Indo-Pacific region is likely to be the focus of the Trump administration’s main foreign policy. In the last term, the main emphasis of Trump’s Indo-Pacific strategy was on the security of US interests and this stance will continue this time as well. His strategy is expected to focus on three key points: promoting American prosperity, maintaining peace through strength, and strengthening American influence in the region. Trump’s tough policy toward China, which aims to balance China’s growing influence on economic and security issues, will continue. US allies such as India, Japan and Australia are expected to play an active role in this strategy.
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In Washington, China is seen as a major economic and security challenge. In Trump’s second term, strict measures are likely to be taken to correct the trade imbalance between the United States and China. Trump has expressed his intention to impose tariffs on Chinese high-tech imports and there is a possibility that these tariffs could be extended to other industries as well. If Trump imposes higher tariffs, supply chains will be affected and trade relations across the Indo-Pacific region could change. Trump’s policy will focus on diversifying American companies away from China, which could accelerate partnerships with other Indo-Pacific countries.
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India
India is an important partner in Trump’s Indo-Pacific strategy. Trump had emphasized during his election campaign his strong relations with Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Under the Trump administration, defense, technology and space cooperation will be prioritized. Existing US-India initiatives such as iCET (India-US Initiative on Critical and Emerging Technologies) and INDUS Technological cooperation with American companies, especially in the fields of cybersecurity and clean energy, can make India a powerful force in the Indo-Pacific region.
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Especially further strengthening can be seen in defense relations between the United States and India. The United States wants to share the responsibilities of regional security and in such a situation, India’s role will be greater in the stability of the Indo-Pacific.
Economic impact and new challenges
Trump’s second term is expected to lead to an economic rebalancing in the Indo-Pacific region, especially given changes in relations between the United States and China. If higher trade tariffs are imposed, regional economies will be affected and countries will have to reexamine their economic relationships. Trump’s stance will also affect multilateral institutions because they historically prefer bilateral agreements. In such a situation, US support for regional organizations such as ASEAN may be reduced.
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relations with the middle east
Trump’s Indo-Pacific vision will not be complete without engagement with the Middle East. During his first term, agreements such as the Abraham Accords strengthened regional partnerships. In Trump’s second term, he may explore new opportunities in the field of trade and connectivity to connect the Middle East with the Indo-Pacific, especially in energy and infrastructure.
This balance of the Trump administration will seek to maintain a proactive strategy in the Indo-Pacific alongside domestic priorities. In such a situation, Indo-Pacific countries will face the challenge of how to maintain a balance between their dependence on China and their strategic partnership with the United States.
Opinion and analysis: Vivek Mishra, from Washington
