donald trump
Donald Trump’s second term as the new president of the United States will begin on January 20, 2025. It is obvious that he will reach the White House thanks to the votes of the American people, so there will be pressure on him to fulfill the promises made to the voters. The same pressure from American voters will change many things in the world. Especially on the economic, strategic and diplomatic fronts. What Trump is going to do on the diplomatic and strategic front, he indicated in his first speech after victory. Addressing the people, Trump said: “I am going to stop the war, we will not allow any war to happen again.” Recalling his previous tenure, he said we did not fight any war in four years. Although ISIS was defeated.
Shortly after Trump’s speech, Ukraine’s army chief announced that he would withdraw his army from Russian territory. This information came to light through a Ukrainian parliamentarian. Experts consider this step by Ukraine as the first step towards ending the war with Russia. The area of Russia from which Ukraine has announced the withdrawal of its army is Kursk. Ukraine claims Russia has lost more than 20,000 troops in the Kursk area in three months. Kursk is the area where North Korean troops recently had to land in support of Russia. On November 4, the US State Department said that about 10,000 North Korean troops could participate in combat operations in the Kursk area. On the same day, Ukrainian President Zelensky said that 11,000 North Korean troops were already present in the Kursk area.
The war lasts 31 months.
The war between Russia and Ukraine has continued since February 24, 2022. The war began with the Russian invasion of Ukraine. 31 months have passed since this war. Trump won the election by blaming President Joe Biden for Russia’s attack on Ukraine. Apart from this, it has also been targeting NATO.
As a member of NATO, the United States has a responsibility to help its other members. According to NATO Article 5, if a country attacks any NATO member, it is considered an attack on all members. The United States has also signed similar treaties with Japan and South Korea. NATO, under the leadership of the United States, has provided military and economic assistance to Ukraine in its ongoing war with Russia.
There will be a reduction in aid to Ukraine!
In contrast, Trump has indicated that he will suspend aid to Ukraine and pressure kyiv to adopt the peace process on Russia’s terms. Instead of seeing large organizations as platforms to display power and influence, Trump sees them as a cause of danger and a burden.
It is believed that there may be a reduction in the aid that Ukraine receives from the United States. NATO already fears that if Trump wins, there will be a massive cut to NATO’s budget by the United States.
After Trump’s victory, pressure will increase on European countries included in NATO. It may be difficult for 9 out of 32 countries, which do not spend 2 percent of their GDP on NATO. Trump could consider withdrawing his force of 12,000 troops from Germany. Trump may move his military base to another location in Germany. Trump may also withdraw his artillery base from Germany.
How will Trump end the war?
- Trump could cut aid to Ukraine
- Trump has been criticizing military-economic aid to Ukraine
- Trump called Zelensky a brilliant “salesman”
What could be Trump’s solution?
- Russia occupies an area of 65,400 square kilometers in Ukraine
- Capture of Crimea, Lugansk, Zaporizhia, Donetsk, Kherson
- Trump can cede part of the territory gained to Russia
- Putin may agree to give up some parts of the conquered territory
Pressure on Zelensky?
Before winning the election, Trump had claimed that he would soon be able to end the war between Russia and Ukraine. In such a situation, it could be dangerous for Zelensky, because Trump may pressure him to engage with Russia. Pressure on Zelensky to make concessions and end the war against Ukraine may increase. Due to a possible improvement in relations between Russia and the United States, the equations of the war may change and in such a situation Ukraine may have to reach an agreement for a ceasefire.
